2008-10-23

杂感记5条

0.早上忽然哈起了胡彦斌,找了不少他上台湾综艺节目的视频看。发现其实他更适合生活在台湾而不是大陆。他的标准台湾腔实在让人生厌.....又令我回忆起了那次超级不快的见面say hi“岑都的盆友,你们好吗”

1.下午参加KC的宣讲,听到其中一个实习生讲“别人总以为我做的是琐碎的事情,但是每当听到一声声thank u的时候,我总能够感受到自己的价值”。

2.傍晚和隔壁室友吹牛的时候发现:外企很向一个骗局,在巨大的光环下,我们为了一个虚幻的泡沫而苦苦的生存。似乎知名度越是不高的国内企业,越能够拿到超过10w的年薪。

3.傍晚苦苦苦苦思索自己的实习经历,发现自己最厌恶的部分就是“你在里面承担什么角色”。

4.晚上迷上了风靡万千少女,熟妇的“郎监管”。LV包包要背,Cartier也要戴,郎监管的节目更要看。
中国的制造业面临内忧外患,本来就处于产业链的最底端,附加价值最低;又遭遇了宏调的严冬,提高了利率,提高存款准备金率;又恰逢新劳动法颁布,人力成本进一步提高;人民币汇率居高不下,外国买家另觅新欢,进一步摊薄利润;金融危机,大量订单流失。
二元经济的同时存在,让过冷部门,如制造业的资金,进一步流向过热部门,如房市,股市,进一步加剧二元恶化。同时大量的资金在房地产积累,进一步推高楼市的泡沫。如海尔15亿现象,表明上官方成为企业战略的转型。其实就是在制造业遇到了困难,资金必须向地产与股市等获利最快部门流动,也就是热钱。
政府为和继续放任“小政府,大市场”策略,为何还不出来维持秩序?以前退出了教育,医疗领域,搞市场化,注定了失败以后,政府还是会回来的。为何不学习香港,新加坡的“公屋计划”“经济适用房”政策,即便是现在大陆政府部分进行经济适用房政策,但仍在考虑成本与收益。这样是错误的,政府做这样的事情是要以“亏钱”为原则的。

最后一句,今天的生活好充实啊~~

2008-10-17

job in the perfect storm

关掉qq,关掉msn,让忙乱的手指开始休息。

穿着口奈的米奇睡衣,白小新舒舒服服地靠在自己软软的小床上。旁边的小灯亮着,暖暖的灯光让这个微微有些寒意的秋天裹上一层暖黄色。

白小新翻开本本,此时此刻,是他的私人时间,不安分的思绪也在悄悄打探着这个世界。呵呵,他喜欢这样。又是整理一天思绪的时候了。

今天的主题是金融危机。1997年的时候,白小新还太小,金融危机对他来说就是电视里的画面和人们饭后的谈资。但是11年以后,他已经被裹挟在了这场风暴中。今天,从别人那里他打听到学校取消了三场双选会,原因正是因为这场残酷的危机,很多公司为了节约开支,取消了这次的招聘计划。现在的白小新也能会明显地感受到这场僧多粥少的困境带来的压力。

白小新从网上了解到,很多传奇已经成为了历史。AIG,雷曼兄弟,高盛,美林,摩根斯坦利....垮的垮了,国有了,合并了,贱卖了......之前他还想投美林和高盛来着,以前他还听别人说投行很有前途的说......现在似乎真的成为了“道听途说”。

这场金融危机将通过国际贸易的影响力迅速地波及到实体经济,届时,已经在全球化大潮中
戏水的中国,势必难以独善其身。巴菲特说“只有在洪水退去以后,才能看见究竟有多少裸泳者”,没想到,这次的洪水冲出了这么多裸泳的。不光自己裸,还拉着别人一起裸。

白小新在想,究竟要进入哪个行业呢?那个行业在这次洪水中损失会小一点呢?

房地产?这场大水的肇始者就源自房地产泡沫,进去不就自投罗网,自寻死路。

金融?金融和房地产几乎就是一家的,都说每一个成功的房地产商背后都有一个牛逼的银行,每一个垮掉的房地产商身下,都有一堆垫底的银行......算了,胆子小

快速消费品?似乎听起来是一个不错的选择,快消是刚性的,经济再怎么不好,牙膏总是要用的吧,洗面奶总是要买的吧,厕纸总是要用的吧。中国国内市场的需求还是巨大的嘛,大不了咱们把门关起来,搞封关锁国嘛,不出口,就内部消化,洪水再怎么牛逼也进不来嘛。

汽车?似乎也是不错的,和快消品差不多。

嗯,白小新摇头晃脑,他踌躇了。

总觉得,命运这个牛逼的东西,一步步把他推向了比亚迪。

妈的,被命运阴了........

2008-10-08

It's late, I need a good sleep then

After all, tomorrow is a good day

declined, but otherwise a good ending

how to say about it? depressed? sad? or a little bit relieved?

i don't know acually.

i definitely know that the audit position absolutely is not suit me well. being a audit person requires a quality of be 严谨, even we could say some kind of geek. but as for me, i'm with generous, passionate, be well into making a big idea and leading a really diversified team, and have some chemistry with them.

passion, leadership, inclusive, that's the characteristics i actually need ,want and a must.

but you know, at this moment, i am in a mood of kinda annoyed. i just can't figure out why i was declined and can't get this over. i would have been through to the next round, having a kind interview with the partner. satisfied both me and the partner, the got the offer, but decline it soon afterwards.

why? the poor loser?

our team is good, we got the chemistry ,the collaboration, passion, no one's too much aggresive. to sum up in a word: nice. all of the people is nice. we're even in the right time, right place. because we are the very first group in the very first day which should really impressed the interviewers. but we didn't.

i've been thinking a lot about the decline today. one scene was came up in my mind. which happen near the end of the group assessment. when one of the senior audit manager asked one team member that for what reason she speak so little, i came out and tried to argue with this manager, i was just like " i think sometimes less is more.especially when you get involved in a teamwork,you have to know how and when to compromise, just for accomplishing the final team objective,and draw the conclusion in the end. if you don't know about this and you stuck on your own point of view, the only result would be we-can't- resolve-the problem- in-time " and after i said all this above, i added " sometimes i think , compromise means you have such a quality of 大局观 overview"

that's where the trigger was pulled .now i kinda sure this last words killed me. maybe the manager misunderstood the word compromise. he would think the word compromise means, in order to reach the final conclusion and agreement, you'll probably let go of the mistakes that your team would make. that is probably what deloitte hated most.

well, some of my team member recommend me as best listener 1 out of 2 , also the one with quality to be a good leader 1 out 2. but i was 鄙视BSed by deloitte.

what a crazy and unbelievable world!

2008-10-05

Jump the least lucky chance

Now I'm on my way back to cd, and three days later I'll on the stage of GROUP ASSESMENT of Deloitte, which is commonly konwn as big four, and a great company offering world famous services in accounting, tax, audit,and management consulting.

It is been great lucky for me,because when my first time sent my resume (though via internet application), I manage to get the chance for. Paper test, and finally I have been through this, which means after survived in the 3-day-later-group test, and couple-days-later-partner interview, I, eventually, will be a member of DELOITTE,the BIG 4. What a honor!!!! First cv gets first job offer back!

The only tiny little shame on this would be my position. in the first place, I applied for the consulting-related position in shanghai, but some days ago, deloitte shanghai office called me in to persuade me changing my position wishlist. There was no vacancies in shanghai any more, which means I have to change position from consulting to tax or audit. definitely neither of which is not what I femiliar with .as a result of it, I wouldn't take the offer even if got the final ticket. On top of that I really don't wanna waste this shot, so I plan to participate in, make a stunning show then reject the job offer .

That would a most proper way for me.

2008-10-03

测试一下berrymail的邮件系统

经过昨天的测试,现在berrymail已经可以同hotmail间互通有无了。现在再测试一下blogger呢?